4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1947
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,891/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$202
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$397
Net cashflow
$715/mo
Annual
$8,579/yr
Cap rate
14.09%
Cash-on-cash
27.86%
DSCR
2.24
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $357/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-1E5K0XATKMJ1F1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29