2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$941/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$467/mo
Annual
$5,605/yr
Cap rate
20.31%
Cash-on-cash
50.04%
DSCR
3.23
1% rule
2.35%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#66 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
Goshen County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #28 of 41 in WY (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Goshen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Goshen County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 3.7% in Torrington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— weathered and in need of repainting
Major: HVAC system
— only 3 years old, but may need maintenance or replacement
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29