3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,153/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,243
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$452
Net cashflow
$194/mo
Annual
$2,334/yr
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.52%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$66,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $237k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (9.2% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $215k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in SC, #295 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Greenville 01 (suburban): math 44% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #10 of 80 in SC (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Robert E. Cashion Elementary (math 39% / reading 37%, grade F, #308 of 597 statewide, top 52%, 899 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 42% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,595 units permitted in Greenville County in 2024 (566 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greenville County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.9% in Simpsonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1EY7WQ24HQF3NZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29