4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,708 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 266 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,348/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$166/mo
Annual
$1,994/yr
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.48%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#694 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Chateaugay Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #515 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $79k; list at $130k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and needs repainting
Moderate: Paint
— Worn and needs touch-up
CashFlowRE · CFR-1F7EA95XA0T5ES
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29