3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,088 sqft ·
Built 1993
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,786/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$450
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$585
Net cashflow
$335/mo
Annual
$4,023/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.32%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#13 in VA, #315 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Halifax County Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #116 of 131 in VA (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clays Mill Elementary (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #827 of 1,108 statewide, top 77%, 212 students, 94% FRL); Halifax County Middle (math 27% / reading 60%, grade D, #285 of 342 statewide, top 84%, 925 students, 92% FRL); Halifax County High (math 40% / reading 69%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 1,397 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 58% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 97 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Halifax County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.2% in Fairfax — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— need updating
Minor: paint
— some peeling
Minor: landscaping
— bare yard
CashFlowRE · CFR-1FCHRS0YPRYKPC
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29