3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,219/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$304
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$562/mo
Annual
$6,750/yr
Cap rate
17.93%
Cash-on-cash
41.56%
DSCR
2.85
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$16,240
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $992 of equity ($401 loan paydown + $591 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#626 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
Munday CISD (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #326 of 826 in TX (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Knox County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.