3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,048 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,644/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,033
Tax + insurance
−$414
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$-149/mo
Annual
$-1,786/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.24%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$55,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $197k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (16.6% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in TX, #4,855 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D+, employment D+.
White Settlement ISD (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #396 of 826 in TX (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 548 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1GJW1SEARSG1MF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29