2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Manufactured
· Active
· 170 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,692/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$291
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$389/mo
Annual
$4,670/yr
Cap rate
11.21%
Cash-on-cash
17.56%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.78%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#97 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Springfield (urban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #296 of 302 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Alfred G. Zanetti Montessori Magnet School (math 33% / reading 60%, grade D-, #405 of 938 statewide, top 44%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Stem Middle Academy (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #263 of 305 statewide, top 86%, 297 students, 0% FRL); Springfield Central High (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #250 of 343 statewide, top 73%, 2,095 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 81% district-wide (81 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 19% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Springfield average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $95k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Major: bathroom cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and in need of replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-1H03X03RSXHR4B
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29