1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
720 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,548/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$482
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$535
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$184/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.23%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$80,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $289k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($184/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $255k (11.9% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $255k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#619 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
North Babylon Union Free School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #202 of 590 in NY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Marion G Vedder Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 406 students, 42% FRL); Robert Moses Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #464 of 729 statewide, top 64%, 1,074 students, 49% FRL); North Babylon High School (math 90% / reading 92%, grade A+, #203 of 1,100 statewide, top 20%, 1,506 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 24% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $240k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in North Babylon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1HFWSADBK7AFE1
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29