3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,532 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$157/mo
Annual
$1,889/yr
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.10%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#335 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
Mingo County Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #42 of 55 in WV (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Matewan Pk8 (math 20% / reading 47%, grade F, #189 of 377 statewide, top 50%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Mingo Central Comprehensive High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #97 of 110 statewide, top 90%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Mingo County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29