3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,100 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,642/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$399/mo
Annual
$4,787/yr
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.15%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#225 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hickory Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #614 of 860 statewide, top 75%, 328 students, 86% FRL); Springfield Middle (math 13% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 225 statewide, top 47%, 748 students, 68% FRL); Williamsport High (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #91 of 222 statewide, top 42%, 959 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 39% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 368 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.8% in Halfway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: interior paint
— Peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-1J2S021K4Z2MGM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29