1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
846 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Condo
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,255/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,255
Tax + insurance
−$752
HOA
−$880
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$894
Net cashflow
$-526/mo
Annual
$-6,307/yr
Cap rate
4.83%
Cash-on-cash
-5.24%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$120,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $430k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (21.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $426k (1.0% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($417k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $337k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Frederick R. Douglass Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,121 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 221 students, 76% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 68% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-31 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 1019 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $295k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($144k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-1J6KCM82NPYNRX
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29