3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Other
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$1,086/mo
Annual
$13,031/yr
Cap rate
19.32%
Cash-on-cash
46.54%
DSCR
3.07
1% rule
2.25%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#107 in MI, #2,598 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Howell Public Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #116 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Challenger Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 486 students, 34% FRL); Highlander Way Middle School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D+, #143 of 493 statewide, top 30%, 744 students, 34% FRL); Howell High School (math 36% / reading 60%, grade D, #183 of 713 statewide, top 26%, 2,024 students, 25% FRL).
Market conditions: 345 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 3.4% in Howell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1JEGPK87B03QNJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29