3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,270/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$-139/mo
Annual
$-1,670/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.22%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (31.3% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#497 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime D-.
Buckley Community Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #267 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $136k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1KJHJCDAGW363Q
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29