3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,546 sqft ·
Built 1936
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$617
Tax + insurance
−$526
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$504/mo
Annual
$6,054/yr
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.37%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$32,949
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $813 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#165 in WI, #4,318 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, health & safety F.
New Richmond School District (town): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #67 of 342 in WI (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: New Richmond Starr Elementary (math 52% / reading 39%, grade D-, #363 of 1,041 statewide, top 35%, 539 students, 31% FRL); New Richmond Middle (math 46% / reading 49%, grade C-, #68 of 383 statewide, top 19%, 749 students, 30% FRL); New Richmond High (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #182 of 483 statewide, top 38%, 1,112 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 411 units permitted in St. Croix County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Croix County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.7% in New Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29