1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
470 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Condo
· Active
· 527 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,743/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$246
HOA
−$237
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$-233/mo
Annual
$-2,799/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.32%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-233 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (19.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 527 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Van R. Butler Elementary School (math 77% / reading 69%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 1,013 students, 30% FRL); South Walton High School (math 61% / reading 73%, grade B, #69 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 1,235 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 48% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 948 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.1% in Miramar Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 527 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29