2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$49
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$357/mo
Annual
$4,284/yr
Cap rate
14.88%
Cash-on-cash
30.66%
DSCR
2.36
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $703 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#341 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Green Ridge R-VIII (rural): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #238 of 535 in MO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Green Ridge Elem. (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #347 of 1,115 statewide, top 35%, 187 students, 57% FRL); Green Ridge High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 181 students, 46% FRL).
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 109 units permitted in Pettis County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pettis County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1MBC6TB5XNAB11
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29