3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,540/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$700
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$365/mo
Annual
$4,375/yr
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.70%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$37,380
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $923 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#228 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Noble (suburban): math 23% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #108 of 270 in OK (top 40%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Noble Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 883 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $134k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.4% in Slaughterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1MBPKY2GQBAJ31
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29