3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,481 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,508/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$381
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-22/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.33%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-22/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (2.7% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#246 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Marion County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #62 of 130 in MS (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: West Marion Primary School (math 72% / reading 37%, grade C, #43 of 375 statewide, top 12%, 352 students, 100% FRL); West Marion Elementary (math 43% / reading 38%, grade F, #60 of 179 statewide, top 37%, 259 students, 100% FRL); West Marion High School (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #59 of 197 statewide, top 30%, 569 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: exterior siding
— slight wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-1MKJTREZT45J2V
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29