3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,097 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,548/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$550
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$325
Net cashflow
$536/mo
Annual
$6,428/yr
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.88%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$29,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#26 in SD, #3,922 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Madison Central School District 39-2 (town): math 41% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #36 of 59 in SD (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 35 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $78k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.8% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1MQVH03ZQKHDVA
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29