3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,409/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$-701/mo
Annual
$-8,416/yr
Cap rate
3.49%
Cash-on-cash
-10.02%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.47%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-701 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (41.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (53.0% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (53.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#379 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Shelby County (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #77 of 165 in KY (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wright Elementary (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #388 of 676 statewide, top 58%, 457 students, 53% FRL); Shelby County East Middle School (math 26% / reading 44%, grade F, #98 of 217 statewide, top 45%, 552 students, 47% FRL); Shelby County High School (math 24% / reading 36%, grade F, #122 of 254 statewide, top 49%, 994 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 237 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $114k; list at $300k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1NDTR113VZDKQ3
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29