4 Tyler Ln

Pine Hill, NJ 08009

$249,000D+

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,160 sqft · Built 1994 · SingleFamily · Pending · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,381/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,306
• Tax + insurance: −$484
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$500
• Net cashflow: $91/mo
• Annual: $1,091/yr
• Cap rate: 6.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.56%
• DSCR: 1.07
• 1% rule: 0.96%
• Cash to close: $69,720

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $249k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (4.4% below list).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $238k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#385 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
• Pine Hill School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #395 of 472 in NJ (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: John H. Glenn School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #878 of 1,303 statewide, top 70%, 355 students, 61% FRL); Pine Hill Middle School (math 10% / reading 44%, grade F, #344 of 431 statewide, top 80%, 381 students, 60% FRL); Overbrook Senior High School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #304 of 399 statewide, top 77%, 792 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 43% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $140k; list at $249k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Pine Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.