4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,276 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,696/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,641
Tax + insurance
−$2,274
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,616
Net cashflow
$-835/mo
Annual
$-10,017/yr
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.04%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$247,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $885k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-835 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $738k (16.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $770k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($858k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $738k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#94 in NY, #1,430 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Greenburgh Central School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #267 of 590 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Early Childhood Program (128 students, 0% FRL); Richard J Bailey School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade C-, #294 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 336 students, 0% FRL); Woodlands Middle/High School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #887 of 1,100 statewide, top 82%, 681 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 42% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $335k; list at $885k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29