118 Buds Ln

Windsor, NC 27983

$70,500B+

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Built 1953 · SingleFamily · Active · 217 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $964/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$370
• Tax + insurance: −$44
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$202
• Net cashflow: $348/mo
• Annual: $4,175/yr
• Cap rate: 12.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.15%
• DSCR: 1.94
• 1% rule: 1.37%
• Cash to close: $19,740

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($964 rent vs $70k).
• It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($487 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#187 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Bertie County Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #165 of 178 in NC (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: West Bertie Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 192 students, 97% FRL); Bertie Middle (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #416 of 475 statewide, top 89%, 425 students, 99% FRL); Bertie High (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #474 of 535 statewide, top 90%, 442 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Bertie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Bertie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 9 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $17k; list at $70k implies a 315% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.