3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,751 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Other
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,659/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,779
Tax + insurance
−$330
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$978
Net cashflow
$571/mo
Annual
$6,847/yr
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.61%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$148,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $530k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $466k (12.1% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($514k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $466k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Nampa School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #82 of 92 in ID (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake Ridge Elementary (math 39% / reading 42%, grade F, #223 of 357 statewide, top 63%, 490 students, 35% FRL); Skyview High School (math 26% / reading 48%, grade F, #100 of 169 statewide, top 61%, 1,152 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $148k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1PWMYHEE8XGE3R
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29