3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,001 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,739/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$640
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$530/mo
Annual
$6,365/yr
Cap rate
11.51%
Cash-on-cash
18.63%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$34,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $122k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $122k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Eliza Hart Spalding Stem Academy (math 65% / reading 65%, grade B+, #41 of 357 statewide, top 12%, 678 students, 17% FRL); Lewis & Clark Middle School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade B-, #20 of 109 statewide, top 19%, 882 students, 32% FRL); Centennial High School (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #10 of 169 statewide, top 7%, 1,931 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1QCMQJ6X4XGB1R
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29