2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,088 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 186 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$972/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$194
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$512/mo
Annual
$6,149/yr
Cap rate
22.91%
Cash-on-cash
59.35%
DSCR
3.64
1% rule
2.63%
Cash to close
$10,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $37k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $37k).
It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#298 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Goreville CUD 1 (rural): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #337 of 620 in IL (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP.
Johnson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 1.3% in Goreville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant damage to the exterior
Major: roof
— Visible leaks and damage
Major: flooring
— Worn and uneven, likely needs replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-1QGF3Q209RQ7P1
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29