1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
648 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$868/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$73
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$182
Net cashflow
$557/mo
Annual
$6,681/yr
Cap rate
54.02%
Cash-on-cash
170.44%
DSCR
8.58
1% rule
6.20%
Cash to close
$3,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $14k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $14k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $628 of equity ($97 loan paydown + $531 appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#239 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 54.0% vs local median 10.2% in Dellwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1R2CJ5CYSEQY6J
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29