3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 106 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$614
Tax + insurance
−$262
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$-34/mo
Annual
$-413/yr
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$32,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $117k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-413/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (5.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#182 in MI, #4,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Eaton Rapids Public Schools (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #315 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Greyhound Intermediate School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #967 of 1,397 statewide, top 70%, 382 students, 46% FRL); Eaton Rapids Middle School (math 21% / reading 40%, grade F, #333 of 493 statewide, top 68%, 453 students, 42% FRL); Eaton Rapids High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 615 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Eaton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eaton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.2% in Eaton Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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