3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,866/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,502
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$-270/mo
Annual
$-3,242/yr
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.04%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$80,220
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $286k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-270 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (16.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (34.9% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $187k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#44 in GA, #4,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
Pickens County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #59 of 174 in GA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jasper Middle School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 628 students, 48% FRL); Jasper Middle School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 628 students, 48% FRL); Pickens County High School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #127 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 1,259 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 260 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $232k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1S5J603DX3B3EF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29