4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,333 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 208 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,589/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$249/mo
Annual
$2,989/yr
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.67%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (0.7% below list).
It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in MN, #1,265 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
Marshall Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #163 of 301 in MN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lyon County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $124k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.2% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1SCSW4A19FC64M
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29