4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,816 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,453/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,203
Tax + insurance
−$525
HOA
−$20
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$725
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-237/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.20%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$117,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $420k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-237/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $417k (0.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $345k (17.8% below list).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($382k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $345k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Choctaw-Nicoma Park (suburban): math 28% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 270 in OK (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Indian Meridian Es (560 students, 0% FRL); Choctaw Hs (math 26% / reading 37%, grade F, #73 of 447 statewide, top 16%, 1,811 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29