3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,050 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$969/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-333/yr
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.99%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-333/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (4.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (19.2% below list).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#211 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Norway-Vulcan Area Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #113 of 540 in MI (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Norway Elementary School (math 77% / reading 62%, grade A-, #74 of 1,397 statewide, top 7%, 273 students, 46% FRL); Vulcan Middle School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #343 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 142 students, 43% FRL); Norway High School (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 177 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickinson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $120k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1SGVZH3JBGKP8S
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29