3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,194 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Land
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$823
Tax + insurance
−$262
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$493
Net cashflow
$771/mo
Annual
$9,247/yr
Cap rate
12.18%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$43,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $157k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#30 in OR, #755 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D.
Oregon Trail SD 46 (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #12 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.7% in Sandy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1SKFQ4BYHJ2705
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29