2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,051 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Condo
· Active
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$-284/mo
Annual
$-3,410/yr
Cap rate
4.49%
Cash-on-cash
-6.44%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#1,488 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools F, crime F.
Los Fresnos CISD (suburban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #444 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: exterior siding
— Weathered and discolored
Minor: interior paint
— Some peeling
Minor: kitchen appliances
— Not updated
CashFlowRE · CFR-1T24W4AR8JBK4A
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29