3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,338 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,815/yr
Cap rate
11.75%
Cash-on-cash
19.49%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#40 in KS, #3,169 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
North Ottawa County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 169 in KS (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Minneapolis Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #358 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 327 students, 51% FRL); Minneapolis Jr-Sr High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #60 of 327 statewide, top 24%, 302 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $70k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1T3FXEFMJNMQMS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29