3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,703/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$469
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$358
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,127/yr
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.18%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (9.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (8.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,272 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Steelton-Highspire SD (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #538 of 539 in PA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Steelton-Highspire El Sch (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,518 statewide, top 98%, 738 students, 100% FRL); Steelton-Highspire Hs (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #434 of 437 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $64k; list at $185k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Highspire — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29