9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
2,163 sqft ·
Built 2004
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 637 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,526/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,641
Tax + insurance
−$944
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,210
Net cashflow
$2,731/mo
Annual
$32,771/yr
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.22%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$247,800
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $885k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $910/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $885k).
It's been on market 637 days — a 12% lower offer ($779k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $779k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 193 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $520k; list at $885k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $248k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,526/mo this rent would consume 203% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 637 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1TQQ62D8974VJK
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29