Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30901
$159,900D+
2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,120/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$-108/mo
Annual
$-1,301/yr
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.91%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-108 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (12.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (30.0% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: W.S. Hornsby Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 567 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 2% at this address vs 16% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richmond County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,120/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($25k/yr) (locally 2063% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1VE5VXDEVRJ8XP
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29