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Lauderdale-by-the-Sea, FL 33062

$445,000C-

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Built 1971 · Condo · Pending · 57 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,649/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,334
• Tax + insurance: −$742
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$976
• Net cashflow: $597/mo
• Annual: $7,165/yr
• Cap rate: 7.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.75%
• DSCR: 1.26
• 1% rule: 1.04%
• Cash to close: $124,600

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $445k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $445k).
• It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $432k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mcnab Elementary School (math 51% / reading 63%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 614 students, 56% FRL); Pompano Beach Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #421 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 1,040 students, 73% FRL); Northeast High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #505 of 667 statewide, top 79%, 1,552 students, 69% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 850 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.0% in Lauderdale-by-the-Sea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $4,649/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 1298% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.