4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,782 sqft ·
Built 1897
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$636
Net cashflow
$1,731/mo
Annual
$20,777/yr
Cap rate
28.19%
Cash-on-cash
78.19%
DSCR
4.48
1% rule
3.19%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $866/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#14 in NY, #334 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
Corning City School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #406 of 590 in NY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $95k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 28.2% vs local median 8.0% in Corning — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,028/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 565% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1VS37B88NTR2TV
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29