3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,358 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,439/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$457
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$-940/mo
Annual
$-11,286/yr
Cap rate
2.64%
Cash-on-cash
-13.04%
DSCR
0.42
1% rule
0.47%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-940 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (53.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (53.4% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (53.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#331 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1VS8B63TQK2C9X
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29