3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 445 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,469/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$40/mo
Annual
$484/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($484/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 445 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Thomas D Gregg School 15 (math 7% / reading 9%, grade F, #945 of 994 statewide, top 95%, 549 students, 85% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL); Arsenal Technical High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #353 of 369 statewide, top 96%, 2,366 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 81% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 445 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1WA3S00HKCH24B
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29