None bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,520 sqft ·
Built 2002
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 170 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$757
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$853
Net cashflow
$798/mo
Annual
$9,580/yr
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.86%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $315k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $798 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $200/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#148 in TX, #4,155 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lloyd M Bentsen El (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 572 students, 86% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,177 of 1,662 statewide, top 72%, 700 students, 84% FRL); La Joya Palmview H S (math 20% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,157 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,155 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 54% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 66% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.6% in Mission — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear, likely requiring replacement.
Major: siding
— Severe discoloration and peeling paint, indicating extensive damage.
Major: flooring
— Old and worn, likely in need of replacement.