5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
22,277 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$29,598/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,128
Tax + insurance
−$1,308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,216
Net cashflow
$13,946/mo
Annual
$167,354/yr
Cap rate
17.09%
Cash-on-cash
38.56%
DSCR
2.72
1% rule
1.91%
Cash to close
$434,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.55M. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14k ($167k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($30k rent vs $1.55M).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.41M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.41M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#118 in CA, #4,193 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, cost of living F.
Redlands Unified (urban): math 44% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #390 of 1,400 in CA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $434k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.8% in Redlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $29,598/mo this rent would consume 351% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 1532% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1WRNTF1JZ83552
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29