3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1997
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,303/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,143
Tax + insurance
−$293
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$694
Net cashflow
$1,174/mo
Annual
$14,083/yr
Cap rate
13.43%
Cash-on-cash
25.48%
DSCR
2.13
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$61,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $218k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $218k).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($192k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 1116 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $218k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,303/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 939% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29