3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,416 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,039/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$343
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-517/yr
Cap rate
6.09%
Cash-on-cash
-0.74%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-517/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (3.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (18.5% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $204k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-1Y0SZX6M68NBSC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29