306 Delta Rd

Fitzgerald, GA 31750

$149,000D

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,078 sqft · Built 1993 · SingleFamily · Active · 39 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,217/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax + insurance: −$222
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$255
• Net cashflow: $-43/mo
• Annual: $-511/yr
• Cap rate: 5.95%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.22%
• DSCR: 0.95
• 1% rule: 0.82%
• Cash to close: $41,720

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-511/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (5.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (18.3% below list).
• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $122k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#513 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
• Ben Hill County (rural): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #145 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Ben Hill County Primary School (864 students, 89% FRL); Ben Hill County Middle School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 687 students, 89% FRL); Fitzgerald High School School College And Career Academy (math 20% / reading 12%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 861 students, 65% FRL).
• Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Ben Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Ben Hill County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.