2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
992 sqft ·
Built 1898
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$759/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$149
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$159
Net cashflow
$163/mo
Annual
$1,950/yr
Cap rate
11.30%
Cash-on-cash
17.88%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($759 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#308 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Clay Community Schools (rural): math 46% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #79 of 301 in IN (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.6% in Brazil — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29