8779 N Briarwood Lake West Ct

Monrovia, IN 46157

$194,000C

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Built 1958 · SingleFamily · Pending · 144 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,745/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,017
• Tax + insurance: −$160
• HOA: −$21
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$366
• Net cashflow: $180/mo
• Annual: $2,163/yr
• Cap rate: 7.41%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.98%
• DSCR: 1.18
• 1% rule: 0.90%
• Cash to close: $54,320

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $194k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (10.1% below list).
• It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $171k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#304 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Monroe-Gregg School District (rural): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #143 of 301 in IN (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Monrovia Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #417 of 994 statewide, top 43%, 702 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #180 of 330 statewide, top 56%, 328 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 528 students, 36% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 8 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $114k; list at $194k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.4% in Monrovia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.